Coordinated strategy for a model-based decision support tool for coronavirus disease, Utah, USA
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Meredith, H.R, et al. Coordinated Strategy for a Model-based Decision Support Tool for Coronavirus Disease, Utah, Usa. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), 2021. https://doi.org/10.17615/z1pj-0f45APA
Meredith, H., Arehart, E., Grantz, K., Beams, A., Sheets, T., Nelson, R., Zhang, Y., Vinik, R., Barfuss, D., Pettit, J., Mc Caffrey, K., Dunn, A., Good, M., Frattaroli, S., Samore, M., Lessler, J., Lee, E., & Keegan, L. (2021). Coordinated strategy for a model-based decision support tool for coronavirus disease, Utah, USA. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). https://doi.org/10.17615/z1pj-0f45Chicago
Meredith, H.R, E Arehart, K.H Grantz, A Beams, T Sheets, R Nelson, Y Zhang et al. 2021. Coordinated Strategy for a Model-Based Decision Support Tool for Coronavirus Disease, Utah, Usa. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). https://doi.org/10.17615/z1pj-0f45- Creator
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Meredith, H.R
- Other Affiliation: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, United States
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Arehart, E
- Other Affiliation: University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, United States
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Grantz, K.H
- Other Affiliation: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, United States
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Beams, A
- Other Affiliation: University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, United States
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Sheets, T
- Other Affiliation: University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, United States
- Nelson, R.
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Zhang, Y
- Other Affiliation: University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, United States
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Vinik, R.G
- Other Affiliation: University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, United States
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Barfuss, D
- Other Affiliation: University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, United States
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Pettit, J.C
- Other Affiliation: University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, United States
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McCaffrey, K
- Other Affiliation: Utah Department of Health, Salt Lake City, United States
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Dunn, A.C
- Other Affiliation: Utah Department of Health, Salt Lake City, United States
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Good, M
- Other Affiliation: University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, United States
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Frattaroli, S
- Other Affiliation: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, United States
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Samore, M.H
- Other Affiliation: University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, United States
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Lessler, J
- Affiliation: Gillings School of Global Public Health, Department of Epidemiology
- Other Affiliation: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, United States
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Lee, E.C
- Other Affiliation: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, United States
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Keegan, L.T
- Other Affiliation: University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, United States
- Abstract
- The coronavirus disease pandemic has highlighted the key role epidemiologic models play in supporting public health decision-making. In particular, these models provide estimates of outbreak potential when data are scarce and decision-making is critical and urgent. We document the integrated modeling response used in the US state of Utah early in the coronavirus disease pandemic, which brought together a diverse set of technical experts and public health and healthcare officials and led to an evidence-based response to the pandemic. We describe how we adapted a standard epidemiologic model; harmonized the outputs across modeling groups; and maintained a constant dialogue with policymakers at multiple levels of government to produce timely, evidence-based, and coordinated public health recommendations and interventions during the first wave of the pandemic. This framework continues to support the state's response to ongoing outbreaks and can be applied in other settings to address unique public health challenges.
- Date of publication
- 2021
- Keyword
- mortality
- Humans
- pandemic
- incidence
- health care planning
- human
- Pandemics
- hospitalization
- epidemic
- social distancing
- nonhuman
- effective reproduction number
- Disease Outbreaks
- intensive care unit
- epidemiology
- latent period
- coronavirus disease 2019
- time series analysis
- health care utilization
- United States
- COVID-19
- public health
- SARS-CoV-2
- disease simulation
- Review
- decision making
- health care
- Utah
- decision support system
- DOI
- Identifier
- Resource type
- Article
- Journal title
- Emerging Infectious Diseases
- Journal volume
- 27
- Journal issue
- 5
- Page start
- 1259
- Page end
- 1265
- Language
- English
- Version
- Publisher
- Funder
- Amazon Web Services, AWS
- 26798
- U.S. Department of Homeland Security, DHS
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, CDC: 5U01CK000538-03, 5U01CK000585-02
- ISSN
- 1080-6040
- Publisher
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)
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