The Lesser Evil: A Defense of Self-Sampling and Centered Conditionalization

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  • March 20, 2019
Creator
  • Kokotajlo, Daniel
    • College of Arts and Sciences, Department of Philosophy
Abstract
  • In this paper, I develop a taxonomy of views about how beliefs should be updated in situations of indexical uncertainty. Drawing on previous literature, I show how each view is subject to its own apparent reductio ad absurdum. I argue that two of the three views are more absurd than was previously believed. I argue that the third view—which is held by Bostrom, Elga, Sebens & Carroll, Arntzenius & Dorr, and myself—actually has a pretty good defense against the objection it faces. This matters because the various views have important empirical implications.
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  • In Copyright
Advisor
  • Roberts, John
  • Kotzen, Matthew
  • Merino-Rajme, Carla
Degree
  • Master of Arts
Degree granting institution
  • University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Graduate School
Graduation year
  • 2017
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Date uploaded
  • July 5, 2017

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